Many states do not report results daily. Many states show weekly cycles of under-reporting on certain days and over-reporting on other days. For example, my state (WA) does not report on Sundays. Consequently, I smooth test data and fatality data on the basis of a 7-day cycle. Smoothing periods shorter than 7 days or Read more
These graphs show data related to the covid-19 pandemic in the US.
These graphs show data related to the covid-19 pandemic in the US.
Positive test cases are the foundation for calculating the total number of infections, as well as for trending the number of infections. However, test cases account for only a fraction of total infections, due to many people being asymptomatic and not seeking testing, limited test availability early in the pandemic, state strategies of testing Read more
These graphs show data related to the covid-19 pandemic in the US.
These assessments show state-level data that can help assess each state's readiness to reopen.
I'm posting an incremental update to my estimate-tracking graph today, because I think it shows how the deaths were under reported on Sunday and Monday, but on Tuesday we're all caught up. That pattern is typical, and my estimation model accounts for it. However, the under reporting this past weekend seemed more pronounced than Read more
These graphs show data related to the covid-19 pandemic in the US. Today I'm showing the smoothed graphs first, because I think it's easier to see the trend in (a) increase in positive tests, (b) decrease in positive test percentage, and (c) decrease in overall deaths. Read more
These assessments show state-level data that can help assess each state's readiness to reopen.
These assessments show state-level data that can help assess each state's readiness to reopen.
