National Covid-19 Forecast Evaluation Report, July-September 2020

CDC Forecast Evaluations

Forecasts have been submitted to the CDC by IHME, Johns Hopkins, MIT, UCLA, Youyang Gu, and several other groups. Many of these forecasts have received significant media attention. But are the forecasts even accurate?

Here you can find detailed evaluation reports of both national and state forecasts, as well as weekly updates on the accuracy of forecasts submitted to the CDC.

Evaluation of July 6, 2020 Covid-19 State Fatality Forecasts

Evaluation of August 3, 2020 Covid-19 State Fatality Forecasts

Evaluation of August 30, 2020 Covid-19 State Fatality Forecasts