Coronavirus Forecast Models—State Forecast Accuracy

This page provides forecast-by-forecast details of the accuracy of Covid-19 state death forecast models submitted to the CDC for inclusion in the Ensemble model. For summary-level evaluations, see my main forecast evaluation page.  For overall forecast model scorecards, see the scorecards page. For evaluations of national forecast accuracy, see my national forecast evaluation page. For deep dives on different types of evaluation graphs, see the deep dive forecast evaluation page. For the most detailed coronavirus forecast accuracy information, you can check out the raw forecast evaluation data on my github site.

Coronavirus forecast model accuracy on state forecasts – Most recent forecasts

Forecast Model Histories

If you know of a model that isn’t listed and you think it should be listed, please let me know.