My CDC Ensemble Model Covid-19 Forecasts – 9/5/20 Update

New National Baseline Forecasts My national death forecasts for the next 4 weeks are 9/6-12   5261 9/13-19  5178 (2-week total of 10,439) 9/20-26  5220 (3-week total of 15,659) 9/27-10/3  5220 (4-week total of 20,879) As I've taught in software estimation classes for many years, a person should present estimates with precision that's commensurate with Read more