About Steve McConnell

Steve McConnell has been a leading expert in software estimation, software measurement, and software engineering practices for more than 20 years. Most recently, he has used his expertise in data analysis, measurement, and forecasting to analyze and forecast Covid-19 data. Steve is the author of Code Complete, which is often cited as the most popular software development book of all time. Readers of Software Development magazine named him one of the three most influential people in the software industry along with Bill Gates and Linus Torvalds. Steve’s most recent book is More Effective Agile: A Roadmap for Software Leaders. At Construx, he acts as CEO, founder, and Chief Software Engineer. Steve has served in numerous software industry roles, including Editor in Chief of IEEE Software magazine, Chair of the IEEE Computer Society’s Professional Activities Board, member of the Panel of Experts of the SWEBOK project, member of the Computer Science Advisory Board of Whitman College, chair of the Computer Science Advisory Board of Seattle University, and host of Construx’s annual Software Leadership Summit.

State Positive Test Percentages (Positivity) 7/23/20

Test Positivity The percentage of virus tests that show positive results ("positivity") is an indicator of the percentage of the total infections that is being identified through testing. The higher the positivity is, the lower the percentage of overall infections being detected is, all other factors being held constant.  Most states started with high Read more

By |2020-07-25T01:01:42+00:00July 25th, 2020|Tags: , , , |0 Comments

State Positive Test Percentages (Positivity) 7/9/20

There's a New York Times article today that makes some comments about percentage of positive tests in each state. It's quite critical, and I think it whitewashes the challenge of building the surge capacity that's needed to respond quickly. Most states had testing pretty well under control at the end of May, but with Read more

By |2020-07-11T19:00:30+00:00July 11th, 2020|Tags: , , , |0 Comments

Covid-19 Estimate Update 7/6/20

Recent Covid-19 Fatality Forecasts are Far Too Dire With the sharp increase in positive tests being reported recently, we are starting to see some really extreme predictions about the death rates over the next few weeks–including people predicting “hundreds of thousands of deaths.” Such predictions are extreme and unfounded. Read more

By |2020-07-07T05:31:21+00:00July 7th, 2020|Tags: , , |0 Comments

Provincial History of Infections 7/2/20

These graphs show the history of Covid-19 infections in each province. The total number of infections is calculated using the two infection models. Most provinces have had few enough positive tests and deaths that the numbers are too small to model accurately. The graphs are nonetheless provided for the sake of completeness. Irregularities in Read more

By |2020-07-04T21:46:22+00:00July 4th, 2020|Tags: , , |0 Comments